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Articles


Joshua Kelly Joshua Kelly

Macro and Global Liquidity Analysis: Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin – May 2025

Ainslie Research’s May 2025 update reveals markets have reset to an early-cycle phase amid expanding global liquidity, with Gold steady, Silver poised for gains, and Bitcoin rebounding above US$100,000. Investors are encouraged to align strategies with the liquidity cycle, as fiscal stimulus and easing pressures continue to support asset growth.

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Joshua Kelly Joshua Kelly

Bitcoin Analysis: Beyond the Block – May 2025

Ainslie Research’s May 2025 update reveals Bitcoin’s surge past US$100,000, fuelled by a favourable global liquidity cycle, regulatory changes like the GENIUS Act, and fiscal stimulus. As traditional portfolios underperform, Bitcoin’s role as a diversification tool gains traction, offering potential for further upside.

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Joshua Kelly Joshua Kelly

Macro and Global Liquidity Analysis: Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin – April 2025

Ainslie Research’s April 2025 update reveals global liquidity reaching record highs, boosting Bitcoin’s rebound above US$90,000 and supporting sustained gold demand amid central bank buying. Silver stands out as a potential outperformer as the gold-silver ratio reaches historical extremes, setting the stage for a catch-up rally.

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Joshua Kelly Joshua Kelly

Bitcoin Analysis: Beyond the Block – April 2025

Ainslie Research’s April 2025 update highlights Bitcoin’s rebound above US$90,000 amid easing financial conditions, strong ETF inflows, and stabilizing global liquidity. With inflation subdued and the worst of tariff concerns priced in, Bitcoin looks set to benefit from a supportive policy pivot and expanding liquidity.

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Joshua Kelly Joshua Kelly

Bitcoin Analysis: Beyond the Block – March 2025

Ainslie Research’s March 2025 update highlights Bitcoin’s resilience amid stable liquidity and policy headwinds, with ETF outflows reflecting technical adjustments. Long-term adoption, aided by the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, suggests strong upside potential despite near-term volatility.

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Joshua Kelly Joshua Kelly

Bitcoin Analysis: Beyond the Block – February 2025

Ainslie Research’s February 2025 update shows Bitcoin consolidating after a strong run, with liquidity and macro factors supporting its long-term outlook. Generational wealth transfer and disenfranchised younger investors bolster Bitcoin’s adoption as a hedge against systemic risks.

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Joshua Kelly Joshua Kelly

Bitcoin Analysis: Beyond the Block – January 2025

Ainslie Research’s January 2025 update highlights Bitcoin’s resilience amid stable global liquidity and supportive macro conditions, with potential for gains as US policy shifts and institutional adoption deepen. A weaker USD could spark a new Bitcoin rally, echoing the 2017 bull run.

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Joshua Kelly Joshua Kelly

Bitcoin Analysis: Beyond the Block – November 2024

November 2024 marks a pivotal shift with Bitcoin breaking all-time highs, fuelled by early-cycle macro conditions, surging ETF inflows, and pro-Bitcoin U.S. policy under Republican leadership. Despite short-term liquidity dips, long-term indicators suggest a powerful upside heading into 2025.

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Joshua Kelly Joshua Kelly

Bitcoin Analysis: Beyond the Block – October 2024

October 2024 confirms Bitcoin’s bullish outlook with growing liquidity, central bank easing, and a mid-cycle macro backdrop supportive of risk assets. Political shifts and ETF flows add fuel to the rally, positioning Bitcoin for a strong year-end.

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Joshua Kelly Joshua Kelly

Bitcoin Analysis: Beyond the Block – September 2024

Bitcoin's price consolidation continues in September 2024, aligned with seasonal weakness and awaiting a strong Q4 setup backed by expected rate cuts and rising liquidity. With historical performance favouring late-year rallies—especially in halving years—the outlook remains bullish.

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Joshua Kelly Joshua Kelly

Bitcoin Analysis: Beyond the Block – August 2024

Despite August's volatility, Bitcoin’s macro and liquidity indicators remain bullish, with global liquidity rising and long-term holders accumulating through the dip. A 5-month consolidation appears to be setting the stage for the next breakout in H2 2024.

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Joshua Kelly Joshua Kelly

Bitcoin Analysis: Beyond the Block – July 2024

Bitcoin continued to consolidate in July 2024 amid mixed macro signals, miner stress, and government selling—but underlying trends point to rising liquidity and institutional demand. Ainslie maintains a bullish outlook for H2, urging investors to stay focused on long-term gains.

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