Ainslie Research’s February 2025 analysis suggests that despite Bitcoin’s recent correction, rising global liquidity and a mid-cycle macro environment favour a long-term bullish outlook. Gold nears US$3,000 amid central bank buying, while silver’s upside potential grows as the gold-silver ratio stretches past 90.

Ainslie Research’s February 2025 update shows Bitcoin consolidating after a strong run, with liquidity and macro factors supporting its long-term outlook. Generational wealth transfer and disenfranchised younger investors bolster Bitcoin’s adoption as a hedge against systemic risks.

Ainslie Research’s January 2025 update shows global liquidity steady but with potential upside if major central banks pivot, supporting Bitcoin’s bull market and gold’s strong demand from central banks. Silver, historically a late-cycle performer, could rally as the gold-silver ratio compresses.

Ainslie Research’s January 2025 update highlights Bitcoin’s resilience amid stable global liquidity and supportive macro conditions, with potential for gains as US policy shifts and institutional adoption deepen. A weaker USD could spark a new Bitcoin rally, echoing the 2017 bull run.

November 2024 sees Bitcoin breaking out ahead of a likely rebound in global liquidity, as macro indicators point to a return to mid-cycle conditions. Gold and Silver continue their bullish climb, supported by strong fundamentals and rising inflation expectations.

November 2024 marks a pivotal shift with Bitcoin breaking all-time highs, fuelled by early-cycle macro conditions, surging ETF inflows, and pro-Bitcoin U.S. policy under Republican leadership. Despite short-term liquidity dips, long-term indicators suggest a powerful upside heading into 2025.

October 2024 data confirms improving macro and liquidity conditions as inflation stabilizes and central banks continue easing. Bitcoin, gold, and silver remain key beneficiaries of this environment, setting up for continued strength into year-end.

October 2024 confirms Bitcoin’s bullish outlook with growing liquidity, central bank easing, and a mid-cycle macro backdrop supportive of risk assets. Political shifts and ETF flows add fuel to the rally, positioning Bitcoin for a strong year-end.

Global liquidity has reached record highs in September 2024, bolstered by Fed easing, falling inflation, and a weakening dollar—setting the stage for asset appreciation. Bitcoin, Gold, and Silver remain the core beneficiaries, with Bitcoin expected to soon follow the path of its hard asset peers.

Bitcoin's price consolidation continues in September 2024, aligned with seasonal weakness and awaiting a strong Q4 setup backed by expected rate cuts and rising liquidity. With historical performance favouring late-year rallies—especially in halving years—the outlook remains bullish.

August 2024 signals a decisive turn higher in the macro cycle, with global liquidity expanding rapidly—particularly from China—and inflation trending below 2%. Bitcoin is expected to catch up with Gold and Silver, which have already rallied on these improving conditions.

Despite August's volatility, Bitcoin’s macro and liquidity indicators remain bullish, with global liquidity rising and long-term holders accumulating through the dip. A 5-month consolidation appears to be setting the stage for the next breakout in H2 2024.

In July 2024, Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin remain in strong positions as global liquidity begins to recover and inflation trends below 2%. With central banks easing and China contributing more liquidity, the setup for asset appreciation into H2 strengthens.

Bitcoin continued to consolidate in July 2024 amid mixed macro signals, miner stress, and government selling—but underlying trends point to rising liquidity and institutional demand. Ainslie maintains a bullish outlook for H2, urging investors to stay focused on long-term gains.

June 2024 marks continued Mid Cycle consolidation, with stable inflation and improving liquidity positioning hard assets like Bitcoin, Gold, and Silver for a second-half breakout. Ainslie’s trading model, returning 184.1% p.a., capitalizes on this macro setup.

Bitcoin's price consolidation in June 2024 reflects a mid-cycle macroeconomic phase and a stabilizing global liquidity environment, with central banks easing policies to stimulate growth. Despite short-term stagnation, increasing ETF inflows and favourable liquidity conditions suggest potential for significant price appreciation in the latter half of the year.

Global liquidity reached a new high in May 2024, reinforcing a bullish macro setup for Bitcoin, Gold, and Silver as monetary easing and stimulus expand. With inflation stable and institutional demand growing, Ainslie sees continued upside and offers a high-return trading strategy.

May 2024 signals a temporary slowdown in growth and liquidity, but forecasts show strong upside for Bitcoin as easing conditions and institutional demand return in H2. Ainslie positions this consolidation phase as a key buying opportunity amid ongoing "crypto summer."

April 2024 data confirms a Mid Cycle macro phase with steady economic growth, stable inflation, and rising asset prices. Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin continue to outperform as key hedges against fiat debasement and liquidity-driven volatility.

Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory in April 2024, fuelled by ETF demand, rising global liquidity, and a shifting macro cycle toward economic expansion. Despite short-term volatility, the long-term outlook remains bullish with Bitcoin seen as a key hedge against monetary debasement.